The Big Board — Best Player Available
Every draftable player in one Quant order, with market ADP beside it. The gap between the two columns is the whole point: tap any row for the receipts — scheme, 2025 production, injuries, line play, target competition, contract, and what Vegas thinks.
How this board is built (and what's validated vs judgment)
Order = Quant projection turned into value over replacement (replacement level: QB13 / RB30 / WR30 / TE13 in a 12-team half-PPR league — the same convention our draft-value backtest uses). The projection backbone is recency-weighted per-game scoring (70% 2025, 30% 2024 — seasons under 4 games don't count), with three adjustments that survived our backtests: an age-cliff haircut (starters fall off hard past RB 27 / WR-TE 30 / QB 35), a haircut for players buried on the live camp depth chart, and rookies projected from what their draft slot has historically produced, scaled by camp depth tier. ADP is live half-PPR consensus from Fantasy Football Calculator; players FFC's drafters aren't taking show a dash. Prop lines are DraftKings season totals, archived by our own collector. The blend weights themselves are honest glue, not backtest output — the pieces are validated, the assembly is judgment. O-line verdicts weigh moves by market price (contract value and draft capital), not head count — those tiers are judgment too.
| # | Player | ADP | Proj | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET | 1.4 | 330.9 | ▼ |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson RB ATL | 2 | 325.3 | ▼ |
| 3 | Jonathan Taylor RB IND | 5.8 | 323.4 | ▼ |
| 4 | Puka Nacua WR LA | 3.6 | 308.4 | ▼ |
| 5 | De'Von Achane RB MIA | 10.8 | 293.4 | ▼ |
| 6 | James Cook RB BUF | 9.2 | 279.9 | ▼ |
| 7 | Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN | 3.9 | 288.6 | ▼ |
| 8 | Trey McBride TE ARI | 43.1▲ | 237.1 | ▼ |
| 9 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA | 6 | 271.2 | ▼ |
| 10 | Josh Allen QB BUF | 30▲ | 392 | ▼ |
| 11 | Kyren Williams RB LA | 29.3▲ | 253 | ▼ |
| 12 | Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET | 7.6 | 263.5 | ▼ |
| 13 | Christian McCaffrey RB SF | 5.4▼ | 252 | ▼ |
| 14 | Chase Brown RB CIN | 13.9 | 246.3 | ▼ |
| 15 | Cam Skattebo RB NYG | 36.6▲ | 245.9 | ▼ |
| 16 | Rashee Rice WR KC | 20.8 | 251.3 | ▼ |
| 17 | Brock Bowers TE LV | 40.5▲ | 205 | ▼ |
| 18 | Saquon Barkley RB PHI | 16.9 | 235 | ▼ |
| 19 | Omarion Hampton RB LAC | 22 | 226.1 | ▼ |
| 20 | Drake London WR ATL | 13.6 | 235.7 | ▼ |
| 21 | Tucker Kraft TE GB | 109.5▲ | 192 | ▼ |
| 22 | Jadarian Price RB SEA· R1 pick 32 | 55.6▲ | 217.8 | ▼ |
| 23 | Jeremiyah Love RB ARI· R1 pick 3 | 27.8 | 217.8 | ▼ |
| 24 | Ashton Jeanty RB LV | 23.2 | 217.6 | ▼ |
| 25 | Derrick Henry RB BAL | 10▼ | 216.4 | ▼ |
| 26 | George Kittle TE SF | 88.6▲ | 185.7 | ▼ |
| 27 | D'Andre Swift RB CHI | 40.1▲ | 215.4 | ▼ |
| 28 | Nico Collins WR HOU | 21 | 226.3 | ▼ |
| 29 | Bucky Irving RB TB | 44.9▲ | 213.2 | ▼ |
| 30 | Tee Higgins WR CIN | 36.2 | 223.3 | ▼ |
| 31 | CeeDee Lamb WR DAL | 12.1▼ | 222 | ▼ |
| 32 | George Pickens WR DAL | 20.4▼ | 220.9 | ▼ |
| 33 | Breece Hall RB NYJ | 31 | 208.8 | ▼ |
| 34 | Javonte Williams RB DAL | 28.3 | 207.1 | ▼ |
| 35 | Malik Nabers WR NYG | 27.8▼ | 217.6 | ▼ |
| 36 | Josh Jacobs RB GB | 83.4▲ | 204.8 | ▼ |
| 37 | A.J. Brown WR NE | 17.3▼ | 215.8 | ▼ |
| 38 | Travis Etienne RB NO | 34.8 | 202.8 | ▼ |
| 39 | J.K. Dobbins RB DEN | 77.5▲ | 200.3 | ▼ |
| 40 | Kenneth Walker III RB KC | 20.5▼ | 196.8 | ▼ |
| 41 | Patrick Mahomes QB KC | 103.9▲ | 332.5 | ▼ |
| 42 | Jalen Hurts QB PHI | 76.4▲ | 331.1 | ▼ |
| 43 | Sam LaPorta TE DET | 97.9▲ | 161 | ▼ |
| 44 | Quinshon Judkins RB CLE | 50.1 | 190.4 | ▼ |
| 45 | Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE | 82.7▲ | 159.8 | ▼ |
| 46 | Chris Olave WR NO | 22.9▼ | 200.8 | ▼ |
| 47 | Lamar Jackson QB BAL | 56.2▲ | 325.8 | ▼ |
| 48 | TreVeyon Henderson RB NE | 64▲ | 188.7 | ▼ |
| 49 | Brock Purdy QB SF | 87.9▲ | 325.3 | ▼ |
| 50 | Garrett Wilson WR NYJ | 28.5▼ | 199 | ▼ |
| 51 | Dallas Goedert TE PHI | 116▲ | 155.3 | ▼ |
| 52 | Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ· R1 pick 16 | — | 154.4 | ▼ |
| 53 | RJ Harvey RB DEN | 103.9▲ | 183.1 | ▼ |
| 54 | Rico Dowdle RB PIT | 79.9▲ | 182.9 | ▼ |
| 55 | Davante Adams WR LA | 36.2▼ | 193.8 | ▼ |
| 56 | Jaylen Warren RB PIT | 67.5▲ | 182.3 | ▼ |
| 57 | Jameson Williams WR DET | 37.2▼ | 193.5 | ▼ |
| 58 | Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE | 60.9 | 181 | ▼ |
| 59 | Tyler Warren TE IND | 71.2▲ | 150.5 | ▼ |
| 60 | Zay Flowers WR BAL | 24▼ | 192 | ▼ |
| 61 | Courtland Sutton WR DEN | 62.3 | 191.6 | ▼ |
| 62 | Justin Jefferson WR MIN | 12.8▼ | 191.4 | ▼ |
| 63 | Kyle Pitts TE ATL | 89.9▲ | 149.1 | ▼ |
| 64 | Drake Maye QB NE | 51.4▼ | 315.5 | ▼ |
| 65 | Joe Burrow QB CIN | 55.1▼ | 311.9 | ▼ |
| 66 | Colston Loveland TE CHI | 60.8▼ | 144.6 | ▼ |
| 67 | Trevor Lawrence QB JAX | 87.6▲ | 310.8 | ▼ |
| 68 | Quentin Johnston WR LAC | 85.8▲ | 183.4 | ▼ |
| 69 | Bo Nix QB DEN | 109.8▲ | 308.4 | ▼ |
| 70 | Terry McLaurin WR WAS | 45.6▼ | 181.3 | ▼ |
| 71 | Jared Goff QB DET | 96.7▲ | 305.1 | ▼ |
| 72 | DeVonta Smith WR PHI | 30.2▼ | 179.2 | ▼ |
| 73 | DK Metcalf WR PIT | 62.4▼ | 178.9 | ▼ |
| 74 | Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR | 30.4▼ | 178.4 | ▼ |
| 75 | Dalton Kincaid TE BUF | 149.2▲ | 136.6 | ▼ |
| 76 | Jayden Daniels QB WAS | 75.5 | 301 | ▼ |
| 77 | Baker Mayfield QB TB | 138.6▲ | 300.1 | ▼ |
| 78 | Jauan Jennings WR MIN | 153.6▲ | 174.1 | ▼ |
| 79 | Carnell Tate WR TEN· R1 pick 4 | 76.3 | 174 | ▼ |
| 80 | KC Concepcion WR CLE· R1 pick 24 | 113.5▲ | 174 | ▼ |
| 81 | Makai Lemon WR PHI· R1 pick 20 | 122.3▲ | 174 | ▼ |
| 82 | Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ· R1 pick 30 | — | 174 | ▼ |
| 83 | Juwan Johnson TE NO | 152.7▲ | 132.2 | ▼ |
| 84 | Justin Herbert QB LAC | 104.5▲ | 299 | ▼ |
| 85 | Ladd McConkey WR LAC | 39.9▼ | 173.7 | ▼ |
| 86 | Chuba Hubbard RB CAR | 86 | 162.4 | ▼ |
| 87 | Caleb Williams QB CHI | 87.2 | 298.7 | ▼ |
| 88 | Hunter Henry TE NE | 154.5▲ | 131.6 | ▼ |
| 89 | Alec Pierce WR IND | 63.5▼ | 172.3 | ▼ |
| 90 | David Montgomery RB HOU | 53.1▼ | 160.7 | ▼ |
| 91 | Jake Ferguson TE DAL | 147.6▲ | 130.3 | ▼ |
| 92 | Jake Tonges TE SF | — | 129.7 | ▼ |
| 93 | David Njoku TE LAC | — | 129.5 | ▼ |
| 94 | Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB | 77.6▼ | 170.1 | ▼ |
| 95 | Christian Watson WR GB | 52.4▼ | 169.8 | ▼ |
| 96 | Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAX | 69.9▼ | 169.7 | ▼ |
| 97 | Najee Harris RB NYG | — | 157.9 | ▼ |
| 98 | Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN | 94.9 | 168.7 | ▼ |
| 99 | Dak Prescott QB DAL | 63.9▼ | 293.9 | ▼ |
| 100 | Jaxson Dart QB NYG | 120.2▲ | 293.3 | ▼ |
| 101 | Tony Pollard RB TEN | 69.4▼ | 154.8 | ▼ |
| 102 | Mark Andrews TE BAL | 132.9▲ | 123.3 | ▼ |
| 103 | Dalton Schultz TE HOU | — | 123.2 | ▼ |
| 104 | Emeka Egbuka WR TB | 34.1▼ | 164.2 | ▼ |
| 105 | Jakobi Meyers WR JAX | 93.8▼ | 162.2 | ▼ |
| 106 | Zach Charbonnet RB SEA | 137.8▲ | 150.7 | ▼ |
| 107 | Brenton Strange TE JAX | — | 120.1 | ▼ |
| 108 | Jaylen Waddle WR DEN | 45.7▼ | 161.6 | ▼ |
| 109 | DJ Moore WR BUF | 45.4▼ | 159.8 | ▼ |
| 110 | Michael Wilson WR ARI | 72.6▼ | 159.3 | ▼ |
| 111 | Stefon Diggs WR WAS | 98.7▼ | 158.6 | ▼ |
| 112 | Jordan Addison WR MIN | 88.9▼ | 158.5 | ▼ |
| 113 | Rome Odunze WR CHI | 48.2▼ | 158.4 | ▼ |
| 114 | Travis Kelce TE KC | 128.2 | 116.6 | ▼ |
| 115 | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF | 111.1 | 157.4 | ▼ |
| 116 | Kenny Gainwell RB TB | 108▼ | 145.7 | ▼ |
| 117 | Pat Freiermuth TE PIT | — | 115.2 | ▼ |
| 118 | Rachaad White RB WAS | 127.9 | 145.3 | ▼ |
| 119 | Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI | 66.9▼ | 156.1 | ▼ |
| 120 | Michael Pittman WR PIT | 79.7▼ | 155.5 | ▼ |
| 121 | Cade Otton TE TB | — | 114 | ▼ |
| 122 | James Conner RB ARI | — | 142.3 | ▼ |
| 123 | Woody Marks RB HOU | 134.6 | 141.4 | ▼ |
| 124 | Daniel Jones QB IND | 163.8▲ | 276.3 | ▼ |
| 125 | Theo Johnson TE NYG | — | 108.4 | ▼ |
| 126 | Colby Parkinson TE LA | — | 108.1 | ▼ |
| 127 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG | — | 137.9 | ▼ |
| 128 | Kyler Murray QB MIN | 129.5▼ | 274.3 | ▼ |
| 129 | Kyle Monangai RB CHI | 103.9▼ | 137.7 | ▼ |
| 130 | Jordan Mason RB MIN | 113.3▼ | 137.2 | ▼ |
| 131 | AJ Barner TE SEA | — | 106.5 | ▼ |
| 132 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS | 103.4▼ | 135.8 | ▼ |
| 133 | Khalil Shakir WR BUF | 106.6▼ | 146.1 | ▼ |
| 134 | Mike Evans WR SF | 55.9▼ | 145.9 | ▼ |
| 135 | Romeo Doubs WR NE | 99.6▼ | 145.4 | ▼ |
| 136 | Parker Washington WR JAX | 62.1▼ | 145.3 | ▼ |
| 137 | Rashid Shaheed WR SEA | 118.3▼ | 145.1 | ▼ |
| 138 | Alvin Kamara RB NO | 154.2 | 133.3 | ▼ |
| 139 | Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC | — | 103 | ▼ |
| 140 | T.J. Hockenson TE MIN | — | 102.9 | ▼ |
| 141 | Jayden Reed WR GB | 85.3▼ | 143.7 | ▼ |
| 142 | Darren Waller TE CAR | — | 101 | ▼ |
| 143 | Jordan Love QB GB | 139.3▼ | 266.1 | ▼ |
| 144 | Aaron Jones RB MIN | 100.5▼ | 128.2 | ▼ |
| 145 | Jordyn Tyson WR NO· R1 pick 8 | — | 139.2 | ▼ |
| 146 | Chig Okonkwo TE WAS | — | 95.1 | ▼ |
| 147 | Jonnu Smith TE GB | — | 93.8 | ▼ |
| 148 | Josh Downs WR IND | 96.9▼ | 135.1 | ▼ |
| 149 | Tyjae Spears RB TEN | 144.5▼ | 123.6 | ▼ |
| 150 | Mike Gesicki TE CIN | — | 91 | ▼ |
| 151 | Matthew Stafford QB LA | 70.2▼ | 257.2 | ▼ |
| 152 | Sam Darnold QB SEA | 151.3▼ | 257.2 | ▼ |
| 153 | Evan Engram TE DEN | — | 89.5 | ▼ |
| 154 | Mason Taylor TE NYJ | — | 87.5 | ▼ |
| 155 | Xavier Worthy WR KC | 95.6▼ | 125.8 | ▼ |
| 156 | Jerry Jeudy WR CLE | 129.8▼ | 125.8 | ▼ |
| 157 | Kayshon Boutte WR HOU | 147.8▼ | 125.6 | ▼ |
| 158 | Tre Tucker WR LV | 131.2▼ | 125 | ▼ |
| 159 | Tory Horton WR SEA | — | 124.5 | ▼ |
| 160 | Isaiah Likely TE NYG | 136.1▼ | 82.7 | ▼ |