Draft boards with receipts.

Every board on this site is built from signals that survived a backtest — and every ranking comes with a plain-English why. No vibes, no hot takes, no “trust me.” Updated from live NFL camp depth charts for the 2026 season.

The Big Board — Best Player Available

Every draftable player in one Quant order, with market ADP beside it. The gap between the two columns is the whole point: tap any row for the receipts — scheme, 2025 production, injuries, line play, target competition, contract, and what Vegas thinks.

  • Jahmyr Gibbs (RB · DET)ADP 1.4
  • Bijan Robinson (RB · ATL)ADP 2
  • Jonathan Taylor (RB · IND)ADP 5.8
  • Puka Nacua (WR · LA)ADP 3.6
  • De'Von Achane (RB · MIA)ADP 10.8
Full board →

Year-Two Breakout Board

Second-year players most likely to jump. Score = rookie-season usage percentile (70%) + draft pedigree (30%), multiplied by camp depth-chart tier.

  • Ashton Jeanty (RB · LV)125.0
  • Omarion Hampton (RB · LAC)121.1
  • Emeka Egbuka (WR · TB)120.0
  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR · CAR)119.4
  • Tyler Warren (TE · IND)118.8
Full board →

Rookie Flier Board

This year's draft class ranked by draft capital × camp depth-chart tier — the coach's plan is the only on-field evidence that exists in August.

  • Jeremiyah Love (RB · ARI)125.0
  • Carnell Tate (WR · TEN)125.0
  • Makai Lemon (WR · PHI)125.0
  • KC Concepcion (WR · CLE)125.0
  • Omar Cooper Jr. (WR · NYJ)125.0
Full board →

Succession Map

Backups one snap away from inherited volume. Inheritance = starter fragility (games missed, injury-report weeks, age cliff) + job shakiness (expiring or cheap contract).

  • J.J. McCarthy (QB · MIN)86.0
  • Carson Wentz (QB · MIN)86.0
  • Jonnu Smith (TE · GB)71.2
  • Xavier Worthy (WR · KC)71.2
  • Josh Whyle (TE · GB)71.2
Full board →

New head coaches — expect a style shift